The format and competition of the French presidential election means it’s almost impossible for Front National candidate Marine Le Pen to reach the presidency, asserts Ashley Kirk of the Telegraph. The French election will take place over two rounds, in the second of which the two most popular candidates face off against each other. According to Kirk’s data, Le Pen would lose in a showdown with any of her three biggest opponents due to her extreme far right and anti-establishment views that alienate voters.
Marine Le Pen’s actual popularity is undervalued, given that voters tend to underplay how far-right they are in polls, theorizes Michelle Caruso-Cabrera of CNBC. She adds that almost half of French voters were undecided about whom they would support once their candidate dropped out. Political correctness has made voters fearful of expressing their support for Le Pen, speculates Caruso-Cabrera. She argues that polls during the US election and the Brexit vote failed to account for similar factors and ended up incorrect.