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Which Way Will The Midterms Go?

Democrats' momentum is unlikely to falter

The economy will uphold GOP dominance

 Getty: Chip Somodevilla / Staff

Historical trends indicate that the current wave of enthusiasm that Democrats are riding will help them flip Congress, infers Albert R. Hunt of Bloomberg. In the past 50 years and longer, only twice did an event change the course of the midterms after Labor Day. One was the Cuban Missile Crisis, the other was Nixon’s post-Watergate pardon. Donald Trump’s controversies are working against him, as are his nervous outbursts on Twitter. Democrats’ biggest weakness is low turnout, but animosity towards the president has strongly motivated their supporters. Brett Kavanaugh’s probable Supreme Court confirmation will also boost Democratic engagement.

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Republicans are most likely to end up on top during the midterms because of strong economic successes under President Trump, argues the Washington Times in an editorial. The economy is a major priority for voters. Under Trump, wages have risen the fastest since the end of the recession, creating 201,000 new jobs in August 2018. The unemployment level is currently at 2.9%. Investors are doing very well, with the Dow Jones Industrial average having risen over 30% since the 2016 Presidential Election. New trade deals with Canada and Mexico are also set to benefit America. These and other factors will ensure Republican dominance in Congress.

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