Judging from polls, statistics and history, Democrats are set to have a very successful 2018, infers Greg Giroux of Bloomberg. During midterms, the president’s party has lost an average 26 House Seats since WWII. President Trump’s particularly low approval ratings of 38% don’t bode well for the GOP. While 40 House Republicans have already announced they won’t run, Democratic candidates are mobilizing. Their support, particularly among educated voters in historically red states, is growing. Victories in New Jersey, Virginia and GOP heartland Alabama indicate the tide is already turning. A blue wave is set to sweep America.
The confidence that liberals have in a Democratic 2018 takeover is widely overblown, argues Michael Walsh of PJ Media. Particularly so in the Senate, where 26 Democratic seats are up for grabs, far more than the GOP’s eight. Five of the former party’s seats are also in states that voted for Trump by at least 18 percentage points. In fact, Democrats are more likely to see their number of Senate seats decrease rather than increase. Furthermore, older people that lean Republican have big turnouts during midterms, while the young, who lean the other way, don’t. The odds aren’t looking good; 2018’s blue wave remains a liberal fantasy.