Donald Trump will fail to get re-elected, theorizes David Leonhardt of The New York Times in a speculative recap of the 2020 elections. Key will be the Democrats’ policies of higher taxes on the wealthy, expanded Medicare and affordable college. Trump’s own unfulfilled promises, particularly in regards to infrastructure, will also lose him votes. With a more united Democratic America, Trump could acquire the same share of the vote as he did in 2016 (46.1%) and still lose due to fewer third-party candidates absorbing votes. Women are also likely to have strong influence, deciding against Trump. There are many reasons to believe he won’t win in 2020.
The Democratic party’s current swing to the left is likely going to result in failure come 2020, writes Ed Rogers in the Miami Herald. Its strong stances on sanctuary cities, abolishing ICE and single-payer healthcare will backfire. The party has shown a movement away from moderate candidates like Barrack Obama or Bill Clinton. This could risk alienating undecided voters, which will be crucial during the election. Furthermore, the economic growth that President Trump is producing will make a very strong case for sticking with him. The GOP will be able to rally around this point, saying that Democrats will undo this growth. 2020 probably won’t be blue.